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Road Map for Renewable Energy in Ukraine to 2030 (Remap 2030. Renewable Prospects for Ukraine), developed by experts of the International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA) in cooperation with specialists form State Agency for Energy Efficiency and Energy Saving of Ukraine (SAEE) and Ukrainian professional associations, was published on IRENA site on April 29, 2015.
REmap 2030 includes not only analysis of the potential of renewable energy sources (RES) in Ukraine, but also the economic benefits of increasing the share of renewables in the total final energy consumption.
If current policies (known as the Reference Case in this study), which are described in the recently approved National Renewable Energy Action Plan (NREAP) are maintained, the share of renewable energy in the total final energy consumption will increase from 3% in 2009 (the plan’s base year) to 13,2% by 2030.That total could be boosted to 21,8% using options identified in this study. Increasing the renewable-energy share from 13,2% under the Reference Case to 21,8% in REmap 2030 would result in savings of USD 175 million per year in 2030, and when accounting for benefits resulting from reduced health effects and CO2 emissions savings would increase to USD 1,3 billion per year based on conservative estimates, and yield USD 5,5 billion in savings in 2030 based on more aggressive estimates.
Experts suggest that 73% of the RE potential can be used for heat, 20% - to generate electricity and 7% - in the transport sector.
If IRENA’s REmap Options are used, there would be a significant increase in biomass use by 2030 for various transport and heating applications (industry, buildings, and district heat) compared with expectations under current policies. In particular, 57% of the bio energy resources - biomass, biogas - can be used for heating, the remaining 16% comes from solar energy and geothermal sources. The share of wind in electricity generation can reach 49%, while hydropower can account for 20%, the combined production of heat and electricity - 18.96%, solar PV - 11.9%, and geothermal energy - 0.14%.
The implementation of the REmap largely depends on investments in renewable energy in Ukraine. Attractive investment climate in our country will depend on the political and economic stability and, of course, strict compliance with current legislation and the government guarantees.
The full text of the REmap 2030. Renewable Prospects for Ukraine is available at: http://www.irena.org/remap/IRENA_REmap_Ukraine_paper_2015.pdf
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